Are Currency Crises Predictable? A Test
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| Google books | books.google.com |
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| Originally published | November 1998 |
| Authors | Paul Cashin |
| Andrew Berg | |
| Date of Reg. | |
| Date of Upd. | |
| ID | 1315985 |
About Are Currency Crises Predictable? A Test
This paper evaluates three models for predicting currency crises that were proposed before 1997. The idea is to answer the question: if we had been using these models in late 1996, how well armed would we have been to predict the Asian crisis? The results are mixed but somewhat encouraging. . . .