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Coronavirus: May be stopped by super-spreading?

Jun 3,2020 8:38 pm

Zumba classes can. the Spread of the disease

As The World to find the breeds, treatments, and vaccines for Corona Virus, scientists have a different goal in their pages - the super-spreading event, when a person is infected, many others

Why is super spreading is important for coronavirus?

During the pandemic, there was a focus on the reproduction (R) number, which shows how The Virus spreads over a population.

If the coronavirus is not against controlled, can the R-series is about three.

An infected person, The Virus on to three more people, who infect three more, and so on.

But this is the average image.

And in reality, the Spread is not equal to is significantly moderate.

"usually, what happens is, a lot of people do not have the Infection pass it on to someone," Dr. Adam Kucharski, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine (LSHTM), says.

"And Then there are a handful of events where it happens large amounts of transmission with five, 10, 20 people infected potentially.

"And we saw that very early with Covid. "

He says that 10-15% of people are responsible for about 80% of the infections.

This variability in the propagation - dispersion Factor measured by the K-number.

The smaller K-number, the less people out there to the masses of the transmission of diseases.

Why does super spreading happen?

Covid-19 passed, by the people, to the shedding of virus particles from your body.

How contagious someone is depends on many factors, which differ drastically from person to person, including:

But it is, what do you do if you shed The Most virus, the really super-spreading events.

"If someone, if they are transferable, happened to go to an all-day meeting with a large number of people, And Then go to dinner, after that, you can also see a super-spreading event," Dr. Kucharski says.

"not generated If this person might happen to have an evening At Home , it is each transmission. "

Where to super spreading is happening?

scientists have track of clusters Covid-19 hold started since the pandemic.

Choir practice could help The Virus

Dr. Gwen Knight, of the LSHTM, says: "We have found that many of the Settings are what we have expected.

"How care - hospitals and nursing homes - unfortunately.

"And also cruise ships, this is something we know from other infectious diseases. "

But they also found clusters that appear again and again in other Places - and meat-processing plants, choirs, bars, and Fitness Studios.

All of these involve as Indoors , in close contact with others for long periods of time.

But Dr. knight says, it is another thread.

"These Settings are likely to, according to the Settings ," she says.

"And, of course, that has an influence on the type of breathing that you do.

"There is the hypothesis that, because it is loud, and you're expelling more and faster air, could it be that this makes the setting more and more risky.

"were It fitness a number of clusters connected to courses in South Korea , and more, were using Zumba classes, or Pilates classes.

"So could it be that you engaged in an exercise that requires you to breathe harder and deeper, as opposed to a more breathe, for example. "

Can be done super spreading out there?

Dr. Muge Cevik, from the University of St Andrews , says: "all the activities have not all environments have the same risk of Infection .

"So, for example, The Risk of Infection would be higher Indoors compared to outdoors.

"But outside, in General, people over worry about the cyclists or runners, But that would reduce The Risk .

"We could say that The Risk of transmission is negligible.

"whereas, if you spend a whole day together, in a large group in a park, and if you exchange a lot of food and you have really close contact, less than 2 m [6 ft], The Risk is lower than Indoors , But there are still risks. "

Hand wash, social distance, and do not share utensils is essential, she says.

As the understanding of super-spreading can help?

Strict locking feature, were with a blunt Instrument for curbing the Spread of the Corona Virus.

decrease, But as infections, and The World opens up to, say the scientists, a targeted approach is required,

Dr. Cevik says: "We need to understand the transfer of momentum, so we can focus on contact-tracing focus.

"But if we can avoid these super-spreading events, and the environments and activities in connection with them, you can decrease almost 80% of the infections.

"And that is Huge . "

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Source of news: bbc.com

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