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Tanvi Madan

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Tanvi Madan is a fellow in the Foreign Policy program at the Brookings Institution, where she specializes in Indian foreign policy. Her work focuses on India's relations with China and the United States, and India's role in the Indo-Pacific.

What Donald Trump gets out of his trip to India

Feb 24,2020 4:02 am

Indian Americans are a growing political force in the United States. This part could also be the reason for The Trip ?

India is gearing up to impress the visiting U.S. President Donald Trump on his first official trip to The World 's most populous democracy.

tens of thousands are expected to line The Streets to greet him, in the heart of Ahmedabad in Prime Minister Narendra MODIS home state of Gujarat.

Mr Trump is. the plant is The World 's largest cricket stadium in The Presence of over 100,000 people, a spectacle expected to cost More Than $13 million (£10m)

The Visit comes as India's economy is under pressure and unemployment is high.

Mr modes of criticism at home and abroad, and a controversial bill that fast-tracks citizenship to non-Muslim religious minorities from the three neighboring countries.

"It is a political boost and a good message for him," says Tanvi Madan , Director of India project at the Brookings Institution think tank in Washington. "He will be seen in the graph, with The Most powerful leaders of The World , so to speak. "

But the Indian Subcontinent has a lot of Mr Trump's got "America First" agenda. So, what is in it for President trump, who is known to hate a long time, and what is he doing to reach hope, if in India there is no shortage of domestic and international problems at home?

1. Winning effort, American voters of Indian -?

The Visit is not expected by many seen as a pleasant travel in a country, where Mr Trump is to hard questions, but easy to win political points for his domestic policy.

is a part of the target type show The American voters a good image, when thinking of Mr. Trump as he seeks re-election. "The visuals are of the trump campaign, the case of The President is to be welcomed, around The World ," says Ms Madan.

"he has made America great and respected, especially when some polls have said that the respect for the USA has gone down on The International stage. "

Indian-American voters could, for special attention. 4. 5 million people of Indian origin living in the United States today, but despite their relatively small numbers, Indian Americans are a growing political force in the country.

Those who vote can select, as a rule, the Democrats. In the year 2016, only 16% of Indian voted for Mr Trump,

"Indian Americans believe cuts to taxes and make smaller government. You are in favor of social spending," says Karthick Ramakrishnan Basis, a professor of public policy at the University of California, Riverside, and the survey delivery.

Mr Trump has been trying to court the Indian-American vote in the run-up to the election in 2020. In September he appeared alongside Mr modes on a massive event in Houston, Texas with the name "Howdy modes", and said: "you never had a better friend than President than President Donald Trump ".

According to Mr Ramakrishnan Basis, Mr Trump's efforts at rapprochement with India could help his numbers on the edge.

"I think there are some short-term dividends would, but probably not to the extent that many Republicans could hope for," he says.

2. Trade Deal

A trade agreement with India, after months of negotiations, it was expected that the heart of The Visit - a great political victory for Mr. Trump if he could seal The Deal .

The US-India bilateral trade stands at $160bn. But hopes for agreement were fading for weeks, as the US is concerned about issues such as rising tariffs, price controls and India, the positions in e-commerce. Immigration of skilled workers and The Visa regime are other problem areas.

India also wants the restoration of the trade concessions under a tariff system, called the generalised system of preferences (GSP), the additional benefits to products from the least developed countries. Mr. Trump terminated the GSP benefits for India in the year 2019.

"a deal would be an important signal to the industry in both countries, USA and India are serious to trade with, and you can solve problems," says US-India Business President Nisha Biswal.

But, she adds: "I'm not optimistic, because of what I've heard from both governments. "

3. The China factor

President Trump has to be tough On China is a Central piece of his political brand, and many of US worry about China, such as the belt and road Initiative, access to the South China Sea, and the untrustworthiness of the producers are shared by India.

"I don't think this Visit would have happened without the strategic convergence between India and the US On China , in particular, their concern over the Chinese actions and intentions in this region," says Madan.

A China-U.S. crisis would have a negative impact on the Indian economy, but too much proximity between the two giants India out of the equation could leave.

The American side, the questions, in turn, whether the Indian quest for strategic autonomy would be an obstacle to a real strategic partnership with the USA.

questions swirl around the question of whether India can rise as a counter-weight to China in Asia, or it would be sucked deeper into the national and sub-regional policy. With rising hostilities between the US and China, Mr Trump also notice can be seen, a friend of Mr. modes ' s India, was, as you are criticizing the Chinese.

4. Defense

media reports suggest creating a button to which Mr Trump's Visit to India.

This is the sale of helicopters for the Navy can. Before The Trip , the US state Department, a possible sale of the built-in

approved, tried As India to diversify his list of buyers, India it detects any large defense purchases from US recently, while it has done so by the Russians and the French, said an analyst.

"India and the US have reasons, very close to the strategic. Also in the case of the trump years you have seen, the defence and diplomatic dialogues," said Ms. Madan.

For Mr. Trump, there is a chance of US sell hardware of a chance to tout to his followers that he employment and 'Made In America ' manufacturing.

5. Building on the Trump-modes Chemie

Mr Trump is seen by many as a "transactional" leader who placed a premium on personal relations, the geopolitics, and he believes that his ability to deal with foreign heads of state and government he gets the ability to get things done.

This is a President Trump and the Prime Minister modi would be the fifth meeting in eight months.

they call each other 'friend'. There are pictures of them hugging. "We are not treated very well from India, but I happen to like Prime Minister modi a lot," said Mr. Trump told reporters days, said before his trip. For Mr Trump and Mr modes display a level of bonhomie that can help smooth out the differences in difficult conversations.

In the end, it's not a journey with a very clear set of goals, says Joshua White, of the Johns Hopkins School of Advanced International Studies.

For Mr. White, it is more likely that the impulsive Mr Trump will take his journey, shaking hands and posing for pictures "and the associated bureaucracy to pay, what can be won on politics".



narendra modi, india, donald trump, united states

Source of news: bbc.com

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