Unstable

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Yes, quite possible, in any form, is the short answer. Jihadist groups like the Islamic state (IS) and al Qaeda thrive on chaos and destruction. This RAID threatens to bring both to a region, which is already a scaling of the voltage.

, But the result will partly depend on the depth, duration, and intensity of the Turkish invasion In Syria .

The jihadists of the IS lost, The Last remaining square-miles of their self-declared Caliphate after the battle for Baghuz In Syria in March of this year.

But thousands of their fighters are still alive, and not all of them are in the prisons. The Group has vowed to fight, through what it calls a "war of attrition", in the hope to crush his opponents through a series of undercover planned attacks such as the bomb attacks, which it, allegedly, in Raqqa This Week .

In North-Eastern Syria, previously a stronghold of, their resurrection has been kept in check by the large number of Syrian Democratic forces (SDF) soldiers, mostly Kurds, supported by US Special Forces and the firepower available.

The Kurds not only have a military presence on the ground and on The Border with Turkey, but they also have The Task , that almost no one else wanted to do: guarding the thousands of IS fighters and their families, in overcrowded prisons and camps under their control.

But with Turkey, the powerful army pressing in areas, the Kurds controlled the Kurdish priorities have changed. To defend themselves has become more important than the guarding of prisoners whose countries are not ready to be punished, you need to take.

The Risk of Prison Break

basically, There are two risks here. The First and most obvious is that the Prison Break . There are an estimated over 12,000 members in SDF-run prisons, and a further 70,000 families in the camps, such as Al-Hol.

The IS members are the hardcore veterans are likely to be implemented or have witnessed beheadings, crucifixions and amputations, as well as for those with experience in planning military attacks.

There is a growing fear in Western intelligence services, which, in the case of a successful jailbreak then some of these hardened fighters find their way back to Europe or other countries home and are planning a repeat in the kind of attacks Seen in London, Paris, Barcelona, and elsewhere.

Here, The West has only themselves to blame. Between 2014-2019, the U.S.-led coalition of around 70 Nations carried out to degrade the hard-fought and successful military campaign, and, finally, destroy the IS Caliphate, which was the terror, an area approximately the size of Belgium.

But it couldn't plan enough for the time after that. There are no internationally accepted mechanism for the pursuit of the remnants of the IS Caliphate, captured on the field of battle. Instead, they are crammed together in conditions condemned by Human Rights groups that there is no prospect of a trial.

The Women 's camps are teeming, IS a supporter and former members of the Hisbah, the morality, the executor, the still, the implementation of strict penalties within the tented camps, including floggings and the burning of the tents of those who reject it.

Most of the camp to The Border strips are arranged to the South that Turkey intends to occupy. But since Kurdish announcements were, you have to move, some of which are previously guarding the camps further to the North to defend against the Turkish advance.

Two of The Most wanted members, El-Shafi Elsheikh and Alexander Kotay, the so-called "Beatles", from London, were under Kurdish guard in North-East Syria, which since its conquest by SDF forces near The Border .

But it was on late Wednesday night announced the detention in the United States, a sign of how worried The West is about The Risk of prisoners go free.

at The Risk of the resurgence

The Kurdish fighters of the SDF has to defeat much of the hard fighting. The US air power, Western Special Forces and the Iranian-backed Shia Muslim militias all played a role in the dismantling of the five-year Caliphate of Northern Syria and Iraq.

But if the Kurds are now no longer occupied in the fight against the Turkish army and dodging air attacks, then they can be an effective force against the IS. The West is not willing to fill their place.

Kurdish-led SDF - fighter Seen here preparing to repel the Turkish Invasion - have to defeat a lot of the hard fighting

All of this fits great. Its diffuse leadership, the only occasional announcements of a comeback, and in Iraq, long before This Week , the Turkish offensive, there were signs that the consolidation and Assembly of small-scale attacks on the Iraqi government posts.

However, the gloomy forecasts may not all come to fruition. The mixed and confusing messages from the White house may be enough to push the deterrence of Turkey, to far In Syria .

their penetration can be limited to fail, and when the dust settles, a New Order may eventually recover, in this Northern corner of the Middle East .

Ultimately, looks likely to be very Unstable , but The Future Status of this region, Unless and until the rivalry is put aside, and the population, something they were sorely lacking: "good governance".

jihadist groups thrive on bad or lack of governance, whether in remote areas of Somalia, in Yemen, in Western Africa, or in the tribal heartland of Iraq and Syria.

There is little evidence that improve.

islamic state group, kurds, syrian democratic forces, syria, syrian civil war, turkey offensive in syria, turkey

Source of news: bbc.com